Anticipated growth of India's Q4 FY25 GDP projected at 7.0%, with the full-year projection revised downward to 6.3%, according to UBI Report.
India's Economic Growth expected to Increase in Q4 FY25
New Delhi—The Union Bank of India (UBI) has reported that the Indian economy is projected to grow by 7.0% in the fourth quarter of the financial year 2025, marking a slight improvement from the 6.2% growth in the third quarter (Q3 FY25).
The report suggests a revised estimate for full-year FY25 growth of 6.3%, a decrease from the earlier projected 6.5%. Gross Value Added (GVA) growth for Q4 FY25 is anticipated to improve to 6.7%, up from 6.2% in Q3 FY25.
According to the UBI report, high-frequency indicators present a mixed trend, despite showing a slight upward bias. The report notes that this trend correlates with private sector activity and is expected to result in a 6.8% increase in Q4 FY25, as compared to 5.9% in Q3 FY25.
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) GDP nowcast projects Q4 FY25 growth at 6.6%. Factors such as the potential revival in rural demand, sustained government spending, and large-scale religious events like the Mahakumbh may be contributing to this recovery. The Mahakumbh is reported to have a nominal growth impact of around Rs 2 to 3 lakh crore.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) had previously projected India's GDP at 6.2% for FY25, a figure that is expected to rise to 6.3% in fiscal 2026, even as global growth slows to 2.8% in 2025.
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Relevant Enrichment Data:- According to the report, several factors are supporting this economic growth recovery, including the potential revival in rural demand, sustained government spending, and events like the Mahakumbh.- The IMF projects India's GDP at 6.2% in FY25 and 6.3% in fiscal 2026.
The projected growth of India's economy in Q4 FY25 is anticipated to reach 7.0%, according to the Union Bank of India (UBI), marking a slight increase from the 6.2% growth in Q3 FY25. This positive economic news is attributed to factors such as the potential revival in rural demand, sustained government spending, and large-scale religious events like the Mahakumbh, which is expected to have a nominal growth impact of around Rs 2 to 3 lakh crore.
In addition to the UBI's estimate, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also projects India's GDP to rise, with an anticipated growth of 6.3% in fiscal 2026, despite a slowing global growth rate of 2.8% in 2025.
This economic growth trajectory is of significant interest to businesses and financial institutions, as they monitor the growth of the Indian economy to make informed decisions in sectors such as finance and business. Sports and news enthusiasts may also find this economic news significant, as the overall economic health of a nation can impact its ability to invest in infrastructures that support various sectors, including sports.
