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Bank earnings at risk due to escalating private debt levels

Debt funds, unrelated to banks, may divert as much as $30 billion in profits from the Corporate Investment Banking (CIB) industry, predicts a research by Oliver Wyman.

Banks Face Potential Revenue Loss of up to $30 Billion in Corporate & Investment Banking by 2027 - Here's Why

By Phil, Frankfurt

Bank earnings at risk due to escalating private debt levels

Got your cash-filled breeches all in a twist? Fear not, me hearty! It ain't just your everyday swashbuckler that's snatching your earnings in the banking world. According to a study by management consultants, Oliver Wyman, non-traditional players like high-frequency traders, credit funds, and private equity firms are ready to shake up the Corporate & Investment Banking sector, potentially dipping their greasy hands into revenue streams worth up to $30 billion by 2027. Yargh!

Now, them enterprising non-banks ain't just treading on traditional banking turf, they're stepping on the throats of revenues as well. Private credit funds and other non-bank entities, with their liquidity guns blazing, have the potential to flatten Corporate & Investment Banking revenues globally, reaching $30 billion by 2027, as per the study. Adding Commercial Banking to the mix, the stakes could rise as high as $50 billion.

But don't reach for your pistols just yet. There's a silver lining to this squall. Banks still have an opportunity to board the gravy train by joining forces with credit funds. Collaborating with these newcomers can open up new revenue streams, turning lemons into lemonade in the cutthroat banking world.

These non-bank upstarts, particularly the credit funds, have been making quite the commotion in the financial landscape these days. They've muscled in on the banking business, offering alternative financing solutions and snapping up a piece of the market previously dominated by banks. This new competition can put a dent in banks' lending and origination fees, leaving them high and dry.

That ain't all. Non-bank traders like hedge funds, private equity firms, and the like are ramping up their trading activities in capital markets. This heightened competition can squeeze profit margins for old-school banks, especially in areas such as securities trading. To make matters worse, market volatility, which these non-banks tend to thrive in, can further magnify the challenge, leaving banks clinging to economic sinking sand.

So, are your earnings about to become trigger-happy fodder for these newer players? Probably. If current trends persist, these non-bank entities could erode the banks' market share and revenues gradually. The actual extent of these losses would depend on a number of factors: regulatory environments, market conditions, and the banks' ability to adapt and innovate.

Keep a weather eye out for specific Oliver Wyman reports or financial consulting firm studies for precise projections, or better yet,swing by their offices and demand to see the numbers, if you're feeling particularly bold. In the meantime, have your spurs shined and your pistol oiled – it's going to be a wild ride.

  1. Non-traditional players, such as high-frequency traders, credit funds, and private equity firms, potentially stand to siphon off $30 billion from the Corporate & Investment Banking sector by 2027, according to a study by management consultants, Oliver Wyman.
  2. The study further predicts that the total potential revenue loss could even rise to $50 billion, when Commercial Banking is taken into account.
  3. In an attempt to curtail these potential losses, banks could potentially forge alliances with credit funds, thus opening up new revenue streams and turning the current banking industry challenges into opportunities.
According to a study by Oliver Wyman, non-bank entities like Debt Funds could potentially snatch approximately $30 billion in revenues from Banks within the Corporate Investment Banking sector.

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