Campbel's Corporation's Shares Reaching Multi-Year Low Prices
Campbell's Delivers Strong Growth Amid Challenges
In the dynamic world of food production, Campbell's (CPB) has been making waves. The iconic Goldfish snack brand and other products have shown impressive growth, with net sales increasing by approximately 50% between 2019 and 2024.
According to analysts, Campbell's strategic repositioning of its portfolio over the past decade has been commendable. The company focuses on two key categories today - snacks and meals & beverages. In the meals category, Campbell's broth segment is experiencing growth, with the company gaining share from competitors. However, the ready-to-serve segment remains a weak spot in the current market.
Campbell's has a rich history, dating back to 1869 when Joseph Campbell and Abraham Anderson founded the company. In 1895, the company expanded into soup with its first product being Beefsteak Tomato. More recently, Campbell's made headlines with its acquisition of Rao's, a high-end pasta sauces line, for approximately $2.7B in 2023.
The Rao's acquisition and other recent acquisitions have presented challenges for Campbell's. The company has been grappling with lagging volume trends and difficulties in converting these acquisitions into high-margin sales growth. This has led to earnings and operating margins nearing five-year lows.
However, Campbell's is actively addressing these challenges. The company is investing about 5% of sales annually into research, development, and marketing to keep pace with evolving consumer trends. This includes adjusting price points and pack sizes to appeal to value-focused customers.
Despite these struggles, Campbell's still generates robust free cash flow, supporting a strong dividend yield of around 5.1%. The company currently offers a dividend yield in the 5% range, which is close to the highest yield in the last decade and approximately 60% higher than the mean yield during that period.
The current challenges have resulted in a depressed stock price for Campbell's. The shares have sold off significantly, with a decrease of more than 30% in the last year and nearly 50% lower compared to highs set back in late-2022. However, Campbell's currently trades at an 11x forward P/E ratio, one of the cheapest valuations in the last decade.
Looking ahead, analysts expect Campbell's to earn $2.93 per share in fiscal 2025, with a slight decrease to $2.77 per share in fiscal 2026. The company has reaffirmed its guidance, stating sales would grow by 6-8% in 2025 and adjusted EPS would be in the $2.95 to $3.05 range.
Opportunities lie in Campbell's portfolio of well-known food brands and potential for growth driven by snacks and innovation. The company’s strategic investments are expected to sustain low-single-digit sales growth and maintain high-teens operating margins in the long term. The current depressed stock price offers a value opportunity for investors confident in Campbell's turnaround.
In conclusion, Campbell's faces challenges centering on volume decline and acquisition integration impacting margins. However, opportunities include innovation, portfolio strength, and undervaluation in the stock market supported by steady cash flow and dividend payments. Continued R&D and marketing investments aim to align the company with evolving consumer preferences, enabling modest growth and margin improvement beyond 2023.
[1] Yahoo Finance. (n.d.). Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Stock Summary. Retrieved April 14, 2023, from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPB/profile
[2] Yahoo Finance. (n.d.). Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Key Statistics. Retrieved April 14, 2023, from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPB/key-statistics?p=CPB
[3] Yahoo Finance. (n.d.). Campbell Soup Company (CPB) Dividend History. Retrieved April 14, 2023, from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPB/dividends?p=CPB
- In an effort to align with evolving consumer preferences and stimulate growth, Campbell's is channeling 5% of its sales annually into investments in research, development, and marketing.
- With a strong history, a diverse portfolio of well-known brands, and a depressed stock price, Campbell's presents an intriguing investment opportunity for those confident in its turnaround in the long term.