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Defense Industry Sees Surge in Investor Interest Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions are fueling investor interest in defense tech. The EU is considering relaxing ESG rules, opening up new opportunities for investors.

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Defense Industry Sees Surge in Investor Interest Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Investor interest in the defense industry is surging, particularly since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The EU is considering easing ESG hurdles for defense financing, while successful startups like Helsing and Quantum-Systems have become unicorns in the sector since 2023.

Venture capital deal volume in Germany for defense tech and dual-use companies has skyrocketed from €28 million in 2019 to nearly €800 million in 2024. Major companies are investing heavily in AI and cybersecurity, with Unisys reducing operational costs through AIOps automation and Hitachi's acquisition of synvert leading to eightfold growth in revenue and profitability. Cyber defense, robotics, AI, surveillance, and reconnaissance are the most attractive sub-sectors for investors.

Private equity firms are more active, with 59% planning to invest in the next year compared to 31% of VC firms. A KfW survey found that 30% of investment companies have already invested in defense tech or dual-use firms, and 45% plan to within the next 12 months. Dual-use potential, allowing for combined military and civilian use, is a key attractiveness driver. However, regulatory aspects like ESG requirements and legal restrictions pose challenges. Open questions remain regarding reliable data on returns, ESG application criteria, and investment opportunities beyond VC and PE.

The defense industry is witnessing a boom in investor interest, driven by geopolitical events and technological advancements. While challenges persist, the EU's potential easing of ESG hurdles and successful startups signal a promising future for the sector.

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