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ExpERTS CAUTION: OUR NATION'S ELECTRIC CAR BURST ASPIRINGLY NOTICABLE

Appears to be a perceived growth in electric vehicles in our nation, according to present estimates and a majority of specialists' views.

Warnings issued by experts: The rise of electric cars in our nation becomes increasingly evident
Warnings issued by experts: The rise of electric cars in our nation becomes increasingly evident

ExpERTS CAUTION: OUR NATION'S ELECTRIC CAR BURST ASPIRINGLY NOTICABLE

The apparent electric vehicle (EV) boom in Germany may not be as robust as it seems, according to experts from the German Association of the Automotive Industry (ZDK). While new EV registrations are on the rise, the sustainability of this trend is being questioned due to several factors.

In June 2025, new registrations of electric vehicles increased by 10% to around 47,000 vehicles, corresponding to a market share of approximately 18%. This surge represents a 35% year-on-year increase, making Germany the European leader in EV registrations. However, EVs still account for only around 3% of the total vehicle fleet on the road, indicating a lag in overall fleet electrification.

The slow fleet turnover limits the immediate environmental impact and sustainability benefits. Furthermore, Germany's traditional automakers, such as Volkswagen and Audi, face restructuring pressures, job cuts, and margin challenges while competing globally, particularly against Chinese manufacturers who dominate with lower-cost batteries and superior production efficiency. Europe's slower gigafactory development and higher battery production wastes compared to China impact the sustainability and competitiveness of the local EV market.

Other sustainability concerns include the energy sources for EV production and use. Germany is transitioning its electricity generation toward renewables, aiming for 80% renewables by 2030, but battery storage capacity and second-life usage of EV batteries remain key to fully realizing EV sustainability benefits.

The electric vehicle boom's sustainability in Germany is questioned due to these factors, as well as the need for further renewable energy infrastructure to support the transition beyond new registration numbers.

However, it's important to note that the registration statistics may not accurately reflect the actual demand for electric vehicles. More than 25% of all electric vehicle registrations in Germany are self-registrations by manufacturers or dealers, not private buyers. These self-registrations may be masking the true market demand for electric vehicles in Germany.

For drivers, using nighttime electricity tariffs or subscription models can reduce charging costs by up to 30%, making electric mobility more attractive. Public charging stations in Germany charge an average of 0.52 €/kWh (AC) or 0.60 €/kWh (DC), making costs of 10.45 € to 12.06 € for 100 km. These costs are often more expensive than a comparable gasoline car at around 9-10 €/100 km.

In summary, the EV boom's sustainability in Germany is questioned due to slow fleet turnover, legacy automaker challenges, supply chain and battery production issues, and the need for further renewable energy infrastructure to support the transition beyond new registration numbers. The registration statistics may not accurately reflect the actual demand for electric vehicles, and it's crucial to consider these factors when evaluating the long-term prospects of the electric vehicle market in Germany.

[1] German Federal Motor Transport Authority (KBA) - New vehicle registration statistics [2] International Energy Agency - Global EV Outlook 2021 [3] German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy - Energy and Climate Action Programme 2030 [4] McKinsey & Company - The future of the European automotive industry: A path to profitability and growth

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