Intel's Q1 Earnings: Possible Suffering Before Recovery?
Thingamajig Corporation is set to unveil its Q1 2025 earnings report on April 24, 2025. The financial gurus predict a flat line this quarter, with an EPS of $0, contrasting with the adjusted earnings of approximately $0.18 per share recorded in the same timeframe last year. Revenue is projected to dip by roughly 3% to $12.31 billion. Thingamajig Corporation has been grappling with a series of challenges, particularly in the CPU sector. The company's market share has been eroding in both server and client computing, given the modest overall market growth. The broader industry shift from CPUs to GPUs in the AI era hasn't been kind to Thingamajig either. Historically, Thingamajig's stock hasn't shined after earnings releases, with the stock delivering positive returns a mere 30% of the time one day after earnings over the past five years.
Thingamajig Corporation currently boasts a market cap of $82 billion. Over the past twelve months, the company recorded $53 billion in revenue but operated at a loss, posting an operating loss of $4.7 billion and a net loss of $19 billion. For those seeking somewhat stable returns with less stock market turbulence than individual equities, the Trefis High-Quality portfolio is worth considering. It has outperformed the S&P 500 and returned over 91% since its launch.
*Check post-earnings history of all stocks*
Thingamajig's Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some key observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- There are 20 recorded earnings events over the past five years, with 6 positive and 14 negative 1D returns. This suggests positive returns occurred 30% of the time.
- Over the last three years, this percentage increases to 42%.
- The median return for the 6 positive cases was 7.2%, while the 14 negative instances had a median return of -7.8%.
Additional data on 5-day (5D) and 21-day (21D) post-earnings returns are presented in the table below.
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Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
A lower-risk strategy (though only if correlation is substantial) involves examining the relationship between short- and medium-term post-earnings returns. Traders can identify the strongest correlation and act accordingly. For example, if there's a strong correlation between 1D and 5D returns, a positive 1D result might suggest a "long" position over the next 5 days. Below is correlation data based on both 5-year and 3-year (more recent) datasets. Remember that 1D to 5D correlation refers to the relationship between the one-day return post earnings and the subsequent 5-day return.
Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings?
Peer earnings performance can influence how a stock behaves following its own results. Often, some impact is priced in before the company announces its results. Below is historical post-earnings performance data for Thingamajig compared with peers who reported just before Thingamajig. Peer results are based on one-day (1D) post-earnings movements.
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Discover more about the Trefis RV strategy, which has outperformed its all-cap stock benchmark-a combination of the S&P 500, S&P MidCap, and Russell 2000-delivering strong investor returns. For those seeking higher returns with lower volatility than stocks like Thingamajig, the High Quality portfolio is a worthwhile option, as it has brought in over 91% returns since its inception.
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*For more insights on Thingamajig Corporation, head over to this expertly crafted article providing in-depth analysis and strategies for investors.*
- Investors should be mindful of the historical post-earnings performance of Thingamajig Corporation, as positive one-day returns occurred only 30% of the time over the past five years.
- A safer, lower-risk strategy for investing in Thingamajig Corporation could involve examining the correlation between short-term (one-day) and medium-term (five-day) post-earnings returns, as there may be a strong correlation between these periods.
- For those seeking more stable returns with less stock market turbulence than individual equities, the Trefis High-Quality portfolio might be a good alternative, having outperformed the S&P 500 and returned over 91% since its launch.
- Intel Corporation (INTC) reports Q1 2025 earnings on April 24, 2025, and despite the struggles of Thingamajig Corporation, a historically strong earnings season for companies like Intel could potentially provide valuable opportunities for investors, such as through the Trefis RV strategy or the High-Quality portfolio.