Metals Company's Q2 2025 Financial Projections Overview
The Metals Company (TMC) has been making headlines lately, with its stock price showing significant fluctuations over the past few years. The company, currently trading at around $4.95 as of August 21, 2025, has a mid-cap market capitalization of approximately $2 billion. Its beta, a measure of its market sensitivity, ranges from 0.24 (indicating less sensitivity) to 1.59 (moderate sensitivity), depending on the source.
Over the past year, TMC has demonstrated impressive growth, returning about +371.4% compared to the SPY ETF’s +15.0%, although it has recently underperformed with a -5.7% return in the last two weeks versus +0.4% for SPY.
However, the company's earnings performance has been less impressive. In Q2, TMC reported an EPS of -$0.20, missing analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.052 by a substantial margin. The company's trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS stands at -0.38, reflecting ongoing losses, and it does not pay dividends. Following the earnings miss, TMC’s stock price dropped by about 9.06%.
Despite the recent setback, analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" consensus on the stock, with an average price target near $6.88 to $9.13, suggesting upside potential of roughly 38-42% above the current price. The current forward EPS estimate is approximately -0.05, indicating expectations for reduced losses relative to the recent reported EPS, but still negative profitability. This suggests some analyst optimism for improvement in earnings, even if profitability has yet to be reached.
One factor contributing to TMC's growth prospects is its recent discovery of deep sea nodule reserves, located in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. The announcement of these reserves led to a significant increase in the company's stock price.
However, TMC's operations have raised concerns about environmental impact and sustainability. Additionally, the company's relationship with the U.S. government and its potential impact on its international partnerships remains unclear.
Over the last year, TMC has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time, but over the last three months, there have been no upward revisions and one downward revision in EPS estimates for the company. TMC will announce its Q2 earnings results on August 14th, after market close.
[1] Data source: Yahoo Finance [2] Data source: Seeking Alpha [3] Data source: MarketWatch
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