On Thursday morning, Target's stock experienced a significant decrease.

On Thursday morning, Target's stock experienced a significant decrease.

In a shift today, shares of retail giant Target (TGT) tumbled, losing 3.2% by 10:50 a.m. ET, following the company's bleak outlook for its Q4 earnings. Wall Street analysts had anticipated Target to earn $2.65 per share, but the retailer projected a less rosy figure, with profits expected to lie between $1.85 and $2.45 per share. This predictable gap between expectations and results is prompting investors to offload their Target stock.

The updated guidance from Target accompanied the release of data regarding the company's performance during the busy November-December holiday sales season. Target's sales soared by 2.8% year over year, while comparable sales grew by a steady 2%. The CEO, Brian Cornell, cited this as a "better-than-expected performance" and highlighted the retailer's enduring traffic growth.

Interestingly, traffic in both physical and digital stores surpassed sales growth by 0.3%, indicating that consumers were still shopping at Target but with slightly fewer purchases compared to the previous year. This hints at Target potentially pricing its products too steeply, prompting potential price reductions for the company and a subsequent hit to its profit margins.

With Target's projected earnings per share (EPS) ranging from $1.85 to $2.45 for its holiday quarter, Target stock currently trades between 14.6 and 15.7 times its trailing earnings. The retailer's current dividend yield sits at 2.9%, implying any earnings growth above 10% should make the stock an attractive investment.

However, Target's projections for a mere 1.5% increase in overall quarterly sales casts a shadow over the stock's appeal. Worryingly, profit growth may not be far behind. With this grim assessment, it seems prudent to hold off on purchasing Target stock in the near future.

Investors might be reassessing their finance decisions related to Target stock due to its lower-than-expected earnings projection. The prospect of investing in Target could potentially yield attractive returns if the company manages to grow earnings above 10%, given its current dividend yield.

Amidst the current market conditions, some analysts may be advised to hold off on investing money in Target shares until there is a clearer picture of its financial health, considering the projected shrinkage in both overall sales and profit growth.

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