Projected GDP of Nigeria to reach $552 billion by 2031, as per report's prediction
In the heart of Africa, Nigeria, a nation brimming with potential, is navigating its economic journey. The country, currently the largest economy on the continent, is facing challenges and opportunities that could shape its future.
Nigeria's GDP, estimated at $362 billion as of 2023, has seen a downturn from its 2010 peak of $366 billion, according to the World Bank. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects this decline to continue, with the GDP projected to decrease to $253 billion by 2024.
However, the IMF also predicts a growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria's economy in 2023, and a projected expansion in 2024, with a growth rate of 2.98% in Q1 2024. These figures suggest a gradual recovery, driven by factors such as population growth and diversification efforts.
The economic challenges faced by Nigeria from 2014 to 2024 include two recessions, a decline in oil production, and increased vulnerability to global economic shocks. As a result, the country is projected to lose its status as Africa's largest economy in 2024, according to the latest IMF projections.
Egypt, with a GDP of $394 billion in 2023, is poised to take the lead. The IMF projects Egypt to become the largest economy in Africa by 2031, with a GDP of $612 billion, surpassing both Nigeria and South Africa, whose GDP stood at $378 billion in 2023.
The devaluation of the Nigerian Naira, a significant factor in Nigeria's economic decline, has been a point of concern. Experts, including Mr. Bolaji Balogun, CEO of Chapel Hill Denham, suggest that the true value of Nigeria's economy may be closer to $600 billion.
In light of these challenges, calls for another rebasing exercise in Nigeria have been made. This would help to ensure that the country's economic valuation remains accurate and reflective of its true potential.
President Tinubu's ambitious goals, set during the 2023 NESG summit, include achieving a $1 trillion economy by 2026 and growing to $3 trillion by the end of the decade. Achieving these targets would require Nigeria to achieve double-digit economic growth in the coming years.
As Nigeria navigates these economic waters, it remains the largest economy in Africa, continuing its leading position on the continent. The path to a $3 trillion economy may be challenging, but with the right strategies and policies, it is not impossible. The journey continues.
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